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Droopymaes
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Re: Nio inc

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NIO: Buy This Chinese EV Manufacturer While It's Still Cheap
Jun. 10, 2021 3:00 PM

Summary
  • NIO is a dominant EV manufacturer in the electric SUV segment in China.
    Despite competing in the luxurious SUV segment, its cars are more affordable in comparison to the cars of its peers such as Tesla.
    As the Chinese EV market will continue to aggressively expand in the upcoming years, we believe that NIO has all the chances to create additional shareholder value in the future.
    Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.
NIO ES8 is an all-electric, 7-seater midsize sport utility vehicle
Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
NIO (NYSE:NIO) is a dominant EV manufacturer in the electric SUV segment in China. It has been constantly increasing its deliveries every quarter, its revenues have been growing at a triple-digit rate in recent years, and despite competing in the luxurious SUV segment, its cars are more affordable in comparison to the cars of its peers such as Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). While NIO's stock has depreciated last month, there's every reason to believe that its growth story is far from over, as the Chinese EV market will continue to aggressively expand in the upcoming years and the penetration of electric vehicles on its roads is only going to increase. Considering this, the company has all the chances to create additional shareholder value in the long run.

Dominating the Chinese Market
Founded in 2014, NIO is an electric vehicle manufacturer that's headquartered in Shanghai, China. The company mostly specializes in the development of luxurious electric SUVs and just like XPeng (XPEV), it manufactures and sells its cars online and through its showrooms across China. In addition, NIO also offers various energy-related solutions such as home charging stations, mobile charging services, and others to its customers.

In recent years, the company has been aggressively growing, as the deliveries of its cars have been steadily increasing quarter after quarter, which led to the appreciation of its stock. However, due to the overall market selloff last month, NIO's stock along with stocks of other EV manufacturers such as XPeng, Tesla, and Li Auto (LI) evaporated most of its YTD gains and are currently underperforming the S&P 500 Index.

Despite this, there's every reason to believe that NIO's stock will recover, as the company's successful performance in Q1 shows that its growth story is far from over. In Q1 alone NIO beat the Street expectations by $160 million and generated $1.22 billion in revenues, which represents an increase of 481.8% Y/Y. In addition, the company's gross profit was $237.3 million, while its vehicle margin was 21.2% against -7.4% a year ago. During the period, NIO has also improved its bottom-line performance, as its net loss was only $68.8 million, and despite the chip shortages and the Chinese New Year its deliveries have also increased by 422.7% Y/Y and by 15.6% Q/Q to 20,060.

One of the best things about NIO is that it already has a dominant position in the Chinese EV industry and it also has a solid balance sheet, as its cash reserves at the end of Q1 stood at $7.2 billion, while it had only $1.59 billion in long-term debt. As a result, it can easily reinvest its resources back into the business to drive growth and establish an even stronger foothold in its home market without worrying too much about the current losses.

On top of that, while some might say that by trading at a price-to-sales ratio of ~13x NIO is overvalued, the reality is that its momentum is not slowing down and there's every reason to believe that the growth story is far from over. Considering that even at the market cap of ~$70 billion NIO still trades below the Street consensus price of $59.24 per share, it's safe to assume that the upside is still there, especially since the current forecasts suggest that the company will increase its revenues from $2.49 billion in FY20 to $8.81 billion in FY22.

At this stage, the major competitor of NIO's flagship SUV ES8 is Tesla's Model X. However, there are several reasons to believe that the ES8 is a more attractive car in comparison to the Model X, and as a result, NIO has all the opportunities to outsell its competitor in China in the long run. First of all, the ES8 has more legroom and headroom than the Model X, it also has a luxurious interior, and it comes with three different battery packages that could last from 415 kilometers to 580 kilometers on a single charge.

All of the ES8 SUVs include a proprietary operating system, have advanced navigation software, and most importantly cost ~$70,000 per vehicle in China, which is below the cost of Tesla's Model X, which comes at a price tag of ~$110,000 per vehicle in the region. We believe that this pricing advantage will undoubtedly help NIO to outsell Tesla in the SUV segment, especially since its cars now could be purchased at a discount thanks to the new Chinese subsidy program.

Another uniqueness of NIO is its battery as a service business model, which allows its customers to swap their batteries in various swapping stations around China if they don't want to charge their cars or are in a hurry. After recently deploying the second version of its Power Swap stations, the swapping of batteries is now done in under three minutes, which is the same as refueling a traditional ICE car, and a single station now could perform up to 312 battery swaps in a single day. NIO now has a network of charging stations across all of China and if the solid-state batteries won't be available by the end of the decade at scale, then the idea of swapping batteries on the go will remain a viable business model in the long run.

Going forward, NIO plans to accelerate its deliveries this month in order to meet its Q2 goal of delivering 21,000 to 22,000 vehicles, which represents a growth of 103% Y/Y to 113% Y/Y and plans to generate $1.24 to $1.29 billion in revenues during the period. Despite the semiconductor shortages, NIO already managed to increase its deliveries in April and May to 7,102 vehicles and 6,711 vehicles, respectively, which represents a growth of 125% Y/Y and 95.3% Y/Y, respectively. On top of that, NIO is also on track to deliver 90,000 to 100,000 vehicles this year.

Considering this, there's every reason to believe that NIO will continue to be a dominant player in the Chinese EV market and a leader of the luxury EV segment in the region. While the company doesn't have an infrastructure outside China, we don't think that's a downside at all since China is the biggest EV market in the world that's constantly growing and NIO has better chances of creating shareholder value there than abroad. For that reason, we believe that NIO's growth story is far from over and it's likely that as long as its deliveries increase with every quarter, its stock will be rising in value in the long run.


https://seekingalpha.com/article/443408 ... king_alpha


Jaapdegroot86
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Re: Nio inc

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Droopymaes schreef:
13 jun 2021 17:02
NIO: Buy This Chinese EV Manufacturer While It's Still Cheap
Jun. 10, 2021 3:00 PM

Summary
  • NIO is a dominant EV manufacturer in the electric SUV segment in China.
    Despite competing in the luxurious SUV segment, its cars are more affordable in comparison to the cars of its peers such as Tesla.
    As the Chinese EV market will continue to aggressively expand in the upcoming years, we believe that NIO has all the chances to create additional shareholder value in the future.
    Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.
NIO ES8 is an all-electric, 7-seater midsize sport utility vehicle
Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
NIO (NYSE:NIO) is a dominant EV manufacturer in the electric SUV segment in China. It has been constantly increasing its deliveries every quarter, its revenues have been growing at a triple-digit rate in recent years, and despite competing in the luxurious SUV segment, its cars are more affordable in comparison to the cars of its peers such as Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). While NIO's stock has depreciated last month, there's every reason to believe that its growth story is far from over, as the Chinese EV market will continue to aggressively expand in the upcoming years and the penetration of electric vehicles on its roads is only going to increase. Considering this, the company has all the chances to create additional shareholder value in the long run.

Dominating the Chinese Market
Founded in 2014, NIO is an electric vehicle manufacturer that's headquartered in Shanghai, China. The company mostly specializes in the development of luxurious electric SUVs and just like XPeng (XPEV), it manufactures and sells its cars online and through its showrooms across China. In addition, NIO also offers various energy-related solutions such as home charging stations, mobile charging services, and others to its customers.

In recent years, the company has been aggressively growing, as the deliveries of its cars have been steadily increasing quarter after quarter, which led to the appreciation of its stock. However, due to the overall market selloff last month, NIO's stock along with stocks of other EV manufacturers such as XPeng, Tesla, and Li Auto (LI) evaporated most of its YTD gains and are currently underperforming the S&P 500 Index.

Despite this, there's every reason to believe that NIO's stock will recover, as the company's successful performance in Q1 shows that its growth story is far from over. In Q1 alone NIO beat the Street expectations by $160 million and generated $1.22 billion in revenues, which represents an increase of 481.8% Y/Y. In addition, the company's gross profit was $237.3 million, while its vehicle margin was 21.2% against -7.4% a year ago. During the period, NIO has also improved its bottom-line performance, as its net loss was only $68.8 million, and despite the chip shortages and the Chinese New Year its deliveries have also increased by 422.7% Y/Y and by 15.6% Q/Q to 20,060.

One of the best things about NIO is that it already has a dominant position in the Chinese EV industry and it also has a solid balance sheet, as its cash reserves at the end of Q1 stood at $7.2 billion, while it had only $1.59 billion in long-term debt. As a result, it can easily reinvest its resources back into the business to drive growth and establish an even stronger foothold in its home market without worrying too much about the current losses.

On top of that, while some might say that by trading at a price-to-sales ratio of ~13x NIO is overvalued, the reality is that its momentum is not slowing down and there's every reason to believe that the growth story is far from over. Considering that even at the market cap of ~$70 billion NIO still trades below the Street consensus price of $59.24 per share, it's safe to assume that the upside is still there, especially since the current forecasts suggest that the company will increase its revenues from $2.49 billion in FY20 to $8.81 billion in FY22.

At this stage, the major competitor of NIO's flagship SUV ES8 is Tesla's Model X. However, there are several reasons to believe that the ES8 is a more attractive car in comparison to the Model X, and as a result, NIO has all the opportunities to outsell its competitor in China in the long run. First of all, the ES8 has more legroom and headroom than the Model X, it also has a luxurious interior, and it comes with three different battery packages that could last from 415 kilometers to 580 kilometers on a single charge.

All of the ES8 SUVs include a proprietary operating system, have advanced navigation software, and most importantly cost ~$70,000 per vehicle in China, which is below the cost of Tesla's Model X, which comes at a price tag of ~$110,000 per vehicle in the region. We believe that this pricing advantage will undoubtedly help NIO to outsell Tesla in the SUV segment, especially since its cars now could be purchased at a discount thanks to the new Chinese subsidy program.

Another uniqueness of NIO is its battery as a service business model, which allows its customers to swap their batteries in various swapping stations around China if they don't want to charge their cars or are in a hurry. After recently deploying the second version of its Power Swap stations, the swapping of batteries is now done in under three minutes, which is the same as refueling a traditional ICE car, and a single station now could perform up to 312 battery swaps in a single day. NIO now has a network of charging stations across all of China and if the solid-state batteries won't be available by the end of the decade at scale, then the idea of swapping batteries on the go will remain a viable business model in the long run.

Going forward, NIO plans to accelerate its deliveries this month in order to meet its Q2 goal of delivering 21,000 to 22,000 vehicles, which represents a growth of 103% Y/Y to 113% Y/Y and plans to generate $1.24 to $1.29 billion in revenues during the period. Despite the semiconductor shortages, NIO already managed to increase its deliveries in April and May to 7,102 vehicles and 6,711 vehicles, respectively, which represents a growth of 125% Y/Y and 95.3% Y/Y, respectively. On top of that, NIO is also on track to deliver 90,000 to 100,000 vehicles this year.

Considering this, there's every reason to believe that NIO will continue to be a dominant player in the Chinese EV market and a leader of the luxury EV segment in the region. While the company doesn't have an infrastructure outside China, we don't think that's a downside at all since China is the biggest EV market in the world that's constantly growing and NIO has better chances of creating shareholder value there than abroad. For that reason, we believe that NIO's growth story is far from over and it's likely that as long as its deliveries increase with every quarter, its stock will be rising in value in the long run.


https://seekingalpha.com/article/443408 ... king_alpha
Klinkt toch wel erg positief.. ben vorig jaar juni ingestapt en sindsdien een enorme stijging meegemaakt. Ik hou het nog even vast.

loebas73
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Re: Nio inc

Bericht door loebas73 »

Nio in de lift momenteel 😄

Jaapdegroot86
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Re: Nio inc

Bericht door Jaapdegroot86 »

loebas73 schreef:
17 jun 2021 17:38
Nio in de lift momenteel 😄
Is inderdaad mooi aan het stijgen! Vraag me af waardoor..

loebas73
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Re: Nio inc

Bericht door loebas73 »

momenteel vooral goei cijfers en vooruitzichten!

SHANGHAI, June 18 (Reuters) - China's new energy vehicle (NEV) sales are expected to grow more than 40% every year over the next five years, a senior official with the China Association of Manufacturers of Automobiles (CAAM). China could extend tax breaks on electric vehicle purchases beyond 2022 to support the development of the sector, said Wan Gang, a senior government industrial policy adviser who is often referred to by state media as the " father of electric vehicles "from China, at the same CAAM conference.
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Re: Nio inc

Bericht door Droopymaes »

Nio: Chip Shortage Won’t Chip Away at Market Gains

Wed, June 23, 2021, 9:26 AM

A recent piece highlighted why Nio (NIO) may be a better long-term growth play than Tesla (TSLA). Certainly, that sentiment appears to be holding true, at least since that article was published.

Since that May 26 piece, Nio’s stock price is up approximately 23% at the time of writing. However, investors in TSLA stock have seen an increase of only 2.9% over this time frame.

There are a number of reasons why this may be the case. It appears investors are starting to factor in Nio’s unique market position as a driving force behind higher projected global market share in the years to come. With Tesla being the go-to stock for so long, it appears NIO is rising as a primary option for investors looking for another option (or perhaps a better one).

Indeed, investors will want to constantly analyze the EV space from the lens of how the competitive landscape is shifting. Growth in the global EV market appears to be the primary focus of most long-term investors. In the case of Nio, there’s a lot to like in this regard. (See Nio stock chart on TipRanks)

Let’s dive into a couple of the key factors investors need to consider when choosing an EV play in today’s competitive environment.

Chinese Market Growth Key to Owning NIO Stock

The Chinese EV market is, by and large, the crown jewel of the EV sector globally.

Why?

Well, for starters, China’s EV market is absolutely massive. Currently, China’s EV market makes up approximately 44% of the global market share among electric vehicles. It’s a market that’s also expanding much more rapidly than most markets. It’s expected that China will see 51% EV growth this year alone, an absolutely speedy pace that is hard to ignore.

With Tesla still holding a market share lead in China, many Tesla investors may be quick to dismiss the idea that Nio could surpass the global leader in EV production in the near-term. However, the Chinese government has recently restricted ownership of Teslas in China. Moreover, many are speculating that the government will soon give priority treatment to its home-grown EV companies. That makes logical sense, given increasing U.S.-China tensions of late.

Accordingly, it’s increasingly becoming the view that Nio could take the market share lead in China, and sustain best-in-class growth rates in this space for a very, very long time.

Now, Nio has stated that the global chip shortage affecting this sector is likely to impact production numbers in the near-term. However, the expectation is that this shortage isn’t likely to be a long-term headwind. Additionally, this is a sector-wide problem, not specific to Nio. Accordingly, long-term investors looking for a winner in this sector appear to be ignoring this headwind as near-term noise.

What Analysts Are Saying About NIO Stock

According to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, NIO stock comes in as a Strong Buy. Out of 8 analyst ratings, there are 8 Buy recommendations.

As for price targets, the average analyst Nio price target is $61.91. Analyst price targets range from a low of $50.00 per share to a high of $81.00 per share.


Battery-as-a-Service Business Model Remains Attractive

Nio is unique among EV players in that the company’s business model is inherently different from that of rivals such as Tesla.

One of the key differentiating factors in this regard is Nio’s use of a “battery as a service” business model.

Essentially, NIO provides prospective car owners with a discount on the up-front purchasing costs of its vehicles. Prospective buyers can get a deduction of as much as RMB 70,000 (or roughly $11,000) off the sticker price of a vehicle. This up-front cost savings not only makes Nio’s offering more attractive to the Chinese middle class buyer the company is targeting, but also provides recurring revenue.

How?

Well, buyers of Nio vehicles sign up for battery pack subscriptions. What this means is that Nio owns the battery in the vehicle, and Nio car owners lease the battery back from Nio for a cost of approximately RMB 980 (or roughly $150) per month.

Batteries can be swapped out as necessary, which is a huge plus for EV drivers who see reduced performance with batteries over time. Additionally, owners of Nio vehicles receive battery performance assurances, something other car makers don’t provide. For Nio customers, upselling opportunities and flexible upgrade options, along with recurring revenue streams, make for a compelling opportunity.

These battery swap locations have continued to proliferate all over China. Additionally, Nio has moved forward with its plan to provide second-generation battery swap locations in partnership with Chinese company Sinopec.

Also, this past week, Nio announced its first second-generation highway service area battery swap location. For long-range drivers, and those bullish on Nio’s growing EV infrastructure across China, this is big news.

Indeed, Nio’s unique product offering and current market positioning are worthy of a second look by all EV investors and enthusiasts right now.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nio-chip ... 10709.html
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Re: Nio inc

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Nio : This homegrown Tesla fighter is poised for big growth in China

China, which is already the world's largest vehicle market, is moving quickly to adopt electric vehicles. And while global giants like Volkswagen and General Motors will almost certainly do well as Chinese consumers embrace electrification, China's home-grown automakers are also finding EVs to be a source of top- and bottom-line growth.

Among the Chinese electric vehicle makers, I think it's NIO that stands out right now. The company has established itself in the hotly contested but profitable premium vehicle segment as the leading domestic Chinese alternative to Tesla -- and it's poised for significant growth over the next few years.

NIO isn't yet profitable, but it's on the right track. The company's loss in the first quarter was narrower than Wall Street had expected, and while the global semiconductor shortage has forced NIO to limit its production over the last couple of months, it has begun setting the stage for further growth over the next couple of years.

Last month, NIO announced that it had struck a deal with its manufacturing partner, state-owned automaker Jianghuai Automobile Group (JAC), to boost the output of its factory to 240,000 NIO vehicles per year, or roughly 20,000 per month.

That's about double what it can build right now (or at least, what it could build right now if it wasn't for the chip shortage). And with plenty of cash in the bank (about $7.3 billion as of March 31), two new sedan models on the way, and its order books continuing to swell, the company seems a solid bet for growth over the next few years.
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besportie
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Re: Nio inc

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Citigroup verhoogt het koersdoel voor Nio van 58,3 naar 72 dollar, goed voor een opwaarts potentieel van 43%.
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Soligenix/Dare Bio/Inventiva/Ontex/Pharming/Zev/AB Inbev/ Pmcb / Sorrento / TB long: Prosus, Nio Inc

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Re: Nio inc

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Iedereen nog aan boord ;)
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